zenno/doc/frbm: cm14 results and cm15 plans

2026-06-13 13:20:54 -04:00
parent 6482f11620
commit bc9d722ee0
1 changed files with 39 additions and 4 deletions
@@ -883,9 +883,12 @@
 		plan that is hardly stronger when it does work.
 	</p>
 	<p>
-		About two weeks ahead of CM15, Hakuraku's replay data is showing teams using a rabbit build, or even double runaways, with high win rates.
-		I've watched a few dozen of those races and have found that the runaways are not functionally doing anything specific to runaways:
-		they're being built without <Skill skill={skills.gw} mention /> and <Skill skill={skills.earlyLead} mention />, so the normal fronts (typically UG1 or better) pass them during early race.
+		About two weeks ahead of CM15, Hakuraku's replay data is showing teams using a rabbit build, or even double runaways, with
+		high win rates. I've watched a few dozen of those races and have found that the runaways are not functionally doing anything
+		specific to runaways: they're being built without <Skill skill={skills.gw} mention /> and <Skill
+			skill={skills.earlyLead}
+			mention
+		/>, so the normal fronts (typically UG1 or better) pass them during early race.
 	</p>
 	<p>
 		If this build ever had an era, it was during Unity Cup, when NSM was essentially free and there was no VC. I don't think it's
@@ -1065,7 +1068,7 @@
 	<Sec h={2} id="umas">Front Runners</Sec>
 	<ul class="mb-4 list-disc pl-4">
 		<li>
-			Valentine's Mihono Bourbon (VBourbon) is the easiest font runner to train because she has <Skill
+			Valentine's Mihono Bourbon (VBourbon or Chocobon) is the easiest font runner to train because she has <Skill
 				skill={skills.gw}
 				mention
 			/> built in, whereas most others have to get it from either inheritance or cards that aren't terribly strong. She is also the
@@ -1326,6 +1329,30 @@

 	<Sec h={2} id="cm">My CM Teams</Sec>

+	<Sec h={3} id="cm15">CM15 &ndash; Cancer Cup (Takarazuka Kinen)</Sec>
+	<p>
+		Kitasan's unique ends about a sixth of a second before late race starts, which means massive carryover potential (although
+		being just a 0.25 skill is sad). I see on Hakuraku that runaways are unusually prevalent, and as much as I think it's a bad
+		build, I kind of want to try rabbiting this time.
+	</p>
+	<ol class="mb-4 list-decimal pl-4">
+		<li>
+			Suzuka. I'll try building her as a runaway with TTL, GW, Conc, lane combo, and no other skills except debuffs, and see
+			whether I can make two aces that can consistently pass in mid race. If that doesn't work out, I'll do a spot struggle
+			support instead.
+		</li>
+		<li>
+			Kitasan Black. She won't get to run often, so I'm going to run her while I have the opportunity. She's pretty difficult to
+			build a deck for, though. No Professor, and only one of Tunes and Escape Artist, since I have neither Pasta nor Helios SSR.
+			(The latter is proving non-functional anyway. Five runs with agemasen every time.)
+		</li>
+		<li>
+			Chocobon. Part of me wants to do Seiun Sky here, but if Kitasan has carryover potential on her unique, then so does Bourbon
+			if she whiffs on the first half corners. Since Kitasan won't have as good of a mid race, I really need a proper front runner
+			ace, and that's what Chocobon does best.
+		</li>
+	</ol>
+
 	<Sec h={3} id="cm14">CM14 &ndash; Gemini Cup (Yasuda Kinen, NHK Mile Cup, Victoria Mile)</Sec>
 	<p>
 		The ultimate lane combo map, and also the ultimate <a href="#no-zone">no-overtake zone</a> map, and also the ultimate dueling map.
@@ -1352,6 +1379,14 @@
 		Win rates after 40: Falco 47.5%, Bourbon 27.5%, Suzuka 5%. While this is my best round 1 by a substantial margin, I'm pretty
 		sure I'm going to get torn up in round 2; my stats aren't good enough to beat correctly built end closers.
 	</p>
+	<p>
+		Win rates after 80: Falco 36.25%, Bourbon 22.5%, Suzuka 6.25%. Not as bad as I expected; most round 2 entries finished with
+		three wins. I'll take it.
+	</p>
+	<p>
+		Unfortunately lost to a bad mid race and a Taishin getting a perfect Radiant. At least it was only one this time. Second
+		place.
+	</p>

 	<Sec h={3} id="cm13">CM13 &ndash; Taurus Cup (Tokyo Derby)</Sec>
 	<p>