zenno/doc/frbm: cm14 results and cm15 plans
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@@ -883,9 +883,12 @@
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plan that is hardly stronger when it does work.
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plan that is hardly stronger when it does work.
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</p>
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</p>
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<p>
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<p>
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About two weeks ahead of CM15, Hakuraku's replay data is showing teams using a rabbit build, or even double runaways, with high win rates.
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About two weeks ahead of CM15, Hakuraku's replay data is showing teams using a rabbit build, or even double runaways, with
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I've watched a few dozen of those races and have found that the runaways are not functionally doing anything specific to runaways:
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high win rates. I've watched a few dozen of those races and have found that the runaways are not functionally doing anything
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they're being built without <Skill skill={skills.gw} mention /> and <Skill skill={skills.earlyLead} mention />, so the normal fronts (typically UG1 or better) pass them during early race.
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specific to runaways: they're being built without <Skill skill={skills.gw} mention /> and <Skill
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skill={skills.earlyLead}
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mention
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/>, so the normal fronts (typically UG1 or better) pass them during early race.
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</p>
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</p>
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<p>
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<p>
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If this build ever had an era, it was during Unity Cup, when NSM was essentially free and there was no VC. I don't think it's
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If this build ever had an era, it was during Unity Cup, when NSM was essentially free and there was no VC. I don't think it's
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@@ -1065,7 +1068,7 @@
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<Sec h={2} id="umas">Front Runners</Sec>
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<Sec h={2} id="umas">Front Runners</Sec>
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<ul class="mb-4 list-disc pl-4">
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<ul class="mb-4 list-disc pl-4">
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<li>
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<li>
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Valentine's Mihono Bourbon (VBourbon) is the easiest font runner to train because she has <Skill
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Valentine's Mihono Bourbon (VBourbon or Chocobon) is the easiest font runner to train because she has <Skill
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skill={skills.gw}
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skill={skills.gw}
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mention
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mention
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/> built in, whereas most others have to get it from either inheritance or cards that aren't terribly strong. She is also the
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/> built in, whereas most others have to get it from either inheritance or cards that aren't terribly strong. She is also the
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@@ -1326,6 +1329,30 @@
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<Sec h={2} id="cm">My CM Teams</Sec>
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<Sec h={2} id="cm">My CM Teams</Sec>
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<Sec h={3} id="cm15">CM15 – Cancer Cup (Takarazuka Kinen)</Sec>
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<p>
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Kitasan's unique ends about a sixth of a second before late race starts, which means massive carryover potential (although
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being just a 0.25 skill is sad). I see on Hakuraku that runaways are unusually prevalent, and as much as I think it's a bad
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build, I kind of want to try rabbiting this time.
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</p>
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<ol class="mb-4 list-decimal pl-4">
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<li>
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Suzuka. I'll try building her as a runaway with TTL, GW, Conc, lane combo, and no other skills except debuffs, and see
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whether I can make two aces that can consistently pass in mid race. If that doesn't work out, I'll do a spot struggle
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support instead.
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</li>
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<li>
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Kitasan Black. She won't get to run often, so I'm going to run her while I have the opportunity. She's pretty difficult to
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build a deck for, though. No Professor, and only one of Tunes and Escape Artist, since I have neither Pasta nor Helios SSR.
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(The latter is proving non-functional anyway. Five runs with agemasen every time.)
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</li>
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<li>
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Chocobon. Part of me wants to do Seiun Sky here, but if Kitasan has carryover potential on her unique, then so does Bourbon
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if she whiffs on the first half corners. Since Kitasan won't have as good of a mid race, I really need a proper front runner
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ace, and that's what Chocobon does best.
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</li>
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</ol>
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<Sec h={3} id="cm14">CM14 – Gemini Cup (Yasuda Kinen, NHK Mile Cup, Victoria Mile)</Sec>
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<Sec h={3} id="cm14">CM14 – Gemini Cup (Yasuda Kinen, NHK Mile Cup, Victoria Mile)</Sec>
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<p>
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<p>
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The ultimate lane combo map, and also the ultimate <a href="#no-zone">no-overtake zone</a> map, and also the ultimate dueling map.
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The ultimate lane combo map, and also the ultimate <a href="#no-zone">no-overtake zone</a> map, and also the ultimate dueling map.
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@@ -1352,6 +1379,14 @@
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Win rates after 40: Falco 47.5%, Bourbon 27.5%, Suzuka 5%. While this is my best round 1 by a substantial margin, I'm pretty
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Win rates after 40: Falco 47.5%, Bourbon 27.5%, Suzuka 5%. While this is my best round 1 by a substantial margin, I'm pretty
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sure I'm going to get torn up in round 2; my stats aren't good enough to beat correctly built end closers.
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sure I'm going to get torn up in round 2; my stats aren't good enough to beat correctly built end closers.
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</p>
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</p>
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<p>
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Win rates after 80: Falco 36.25%, Bourbon 22.5%, Suzuka 6.25%. Not as bad as I expected; most round 2 entries finished with
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three wins. I'll take it.
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</p>
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<p>
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Unfortunately lost to a bad mid race and a Taishin getting a perfect Radiant. At least it was only one this time. Second
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place.
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</p>
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<Sec h={3} id="cm13">CM13 – Taurus Cup (Tokyo Derby)</Sec>
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<Sec h={3} id="cm13">CM13 – Taurus Cup (Tokyo Derby)</Sec>
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<p>
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<p>
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